Demo on a mainnet fork: the real Upside program, the real Voltr and Phoenix programs, live Phoenix prices; only the USDC is test money. Nothing here is real money. What that means
upside

uUS500

Live

US 500 3x Long · targets 3x the daily return of US 500Risk grade3x

US 500 · Phoenix SPY mark
external index
$757.10
−0.70% 24h−0.77% 7d
US 500 mark, last 7 days7 days
marked 1 s ago · index $757.10
uUS500 · Token price
3x long
$0.9964
24h
cranked 1 s ago · priced from the $757.10 mark
Effective leverage
in band
2.88x
target 3x · band 2.7–3.3x · hard delever 4x
nothing to do; leverage drifts with the price

Token price vs US 500

uUS500 NAVUS 500 markboth rebased to 100 at range start

Keeper snapshots, 1h buckets.

Cost of holding

Simulate any window

Over the last year, a hold of 3x US 500 did this against 3× the stock, on average and in the worst tenth of start dates.

HoldOn averageWorst tenthLost more than half
24 hours−0.01%0.14%none
7 days−0.09%0.41%none
30 days−0.48%1.6%none

Decay is a cost of choppy markets: it disappears in a steady trend and bites when prices swing past the rebalance band. Backtest with a modelled keeper, fees per D8, funding 0; not the live token.

Replay any hold

Pick a start date and a length; the simulator replays US 500's daily history under this keeper and fees, then rolls the same hold across every start date so the range of outcomes is visible.

Simulate a 30-day hold

Since launch

Launches at 1.00 USDC per token. The token price is now 0.9964 USDC. There are no reverse splits: the price drifts away from 1.00 in both directions over time. Why leveraged tokens decay