Demo on a mainnet fork: the real Upside program, the real Voltr and Phoenix programs, live Phoenix prices; only the USDC is test money. Nothing here is real money. What that means
upside

uSPCX

Live

SpaceX 2x Long · targets 2x the daily return of SpaceXRisk gradenot listed

SpaceX · Phoenix SPCX mark
external index
$144.45
−4.90% 24h−5.36% 7d
SpaceX mark, last 7 days7 days
marked 8 s ago · index $144.45
uSPCX · Token price
2x long
$0.9880
24h
cranked 8 s ago · priced from the $144.47 mark
Effective leverage
in band
1.96x
target 2x · band 1.8–2.3x · hard delever 2.6x
nothing to do; leverage drifts with the price

Cost of holding

Simulate any window

Over the last year, a hold of 2x SpaceX did this against 2× the stock, on average and in the worst tenth of start dates.

HoldOn averageWorst tenthLost more than half
24 hours0.00%0.67%none
7 days+0.86%1.0%none
30 days+2.1%3.9%1 in 4 holders

Decay is a cost of choppy markets: it disappears in a steady trend and bites when prices swing past the rebalance band. Backtest with a modelled keeper, fees per D8, funding 0; not the live token.

Replay any hold

Pick a start date and a length; the simulator replays SpaceX's daily history under this keeper and fees, then rolls the same hold across every start date so the range of outcomes is visible.

Simulate a 30-day hold

Since launch

Launches at 1.00 USDC per token. The token price is now 0.9880 USDC. There are no reverse splits: the price drifts away from 1.00 in both directions over time. Why leveraged tokens decay