Demo on a mainnet fork: the real Upside program, the real Voltr and Phoenix programs, live Phoenix prices; only the USDC is test money. Nothing here is real money. What that means
upside

dUS100

Live

US Tech 100 3x Short · targets 3x the daily return of US Tech 100, invertedRisk grade2.5x

US Tech 100 · Phoenix QQQ mark
external index
$705.44
−1.03% 24h−1.50% 7d
US Tech 100 mark, last 7 days7 days
marked 10 s ago · index $705.44
dUS100 · Token price
3x short
$0.9993
24h
cranked 10 s ago · priced from the $705.37 mark
Effective leverage
in band
2.87x
target 3x · band 2.7–3.3x · hard delever 4x
nothing to do; leverage drifts with the price

Token price vs US Tech 100

dUS100 NAVUS Tech 100 markboth rebased to 100 at range start

Keeper snapshots, 1h buckets.

Cost of holding

Simulate any window

Over the last year, a hold of 3x US Tech 100 short did this against 3× the stock, on average and in the worst tenth of start dates.

HoldOn averageWorst tenthLost more than half
24 hours−0.03%0.23%none
7 days−0.26%1.1%none
30 days−0.77%5.2%1 in 45 holders

Decay is a cost of choppy markets: it disappears in a steady trend and bites when prices swing past the rebalance band. Backtest with a modelled keeper, fees per D8, funding 0; not the live token.

Replay any hold

Pick a start date and a length; the simulator replays US Tech 100's daily history under this keeper and fees, then rolls the same hold across every start date so the range of outcomes is visible.

Simulate a 30-day hold

Since launch

Launches at 1.00 USDC per token. The token price is now 0.9993 USDC. There are no reverse splits: the price drifts away from 1.00 in both directions over time. Why leveraged tokens decay