Demo on a mainnet fork: the real Upside program, the real Voltr and Phoenix programs, live Phoenix prices; only the USDC is test money. Nothing here is real money. What that means
upside

dMSTR

Live

Strategy 2x Short · targets 2x the daily return of Strategy, invertedRisk gradenot listed

Strategy · Phoenix MSTR mark
external index
$130.48
−4.72% 24h−4.96% 7d
Strategy mark, last 7 days7 days
marked 2 s ago · index $130.48
dMSTR · Token price
2x short
$1.0060
24h
cranked 2 s ago · priced from the $130.58 mark
Effective leverage
in band
1.94x
target 2x · band 1.8–2.3x · hard delever 2.6x
nothing to do; leverage drifts with the price

Token price vs Strategy

dMSTR NAVStrategy markboth rebased to 100 at range start

Keeper snapshots, 1h buckets.

Cost of holding

Simulate any window

Over the last year, a hold of 2x Strategy short did this against 2× the stock, on average and in the worst tenth of start dates.

HoldOn averageWorst tenthLost more than half
24 hours−0.10%1.2%none
7 days−1.3%7.0%none
30 days−2.7%31%1 in 6 holders

Decay is a cost of choppy markets: it disappears in a steady trend and bites when prices swing past the rebalance band. Backtest with a modelled keeper, fees per D8, funding 0; not the live token.

Replay any hold

Pick a start date and a length; the simulator replays Strategy's daily history under this keeper and fees, then rolls the same hold across every start date so the range of outcomes is visible.

Simulate a 30-day hold

Since launch

Launches at 1.00 USDC per token. The token price is now 1.0060 USDC. There are no reverse splits: the price drifts away from 1.00 in both directions over time. Why leveraged tokens decay