Demo on a mainnet fork: the real Upside program, the real Voltr and Phoenix programs, live Phoenix prices; only the USDC is test money. Nothing here is real money. What that means
upside

dAAPL

Live

Apple 2x Short · targets 2x the daily return of Apple, invertedRisk grade2x

Apple · Phoenix AAPL mark
external index
$329.75
−1.24% 24h+4.33% 7d
Apple mark, last 7 days7 days
marked 8 s ago · index $329.75
dAAPL · Token price
2x short
$0.9966
24h
cranked 8 s ago · priced from the $329.74 mark
Effective leverage
in band
1.95x
target 2x · band 1.8–2.3x · hard delever 2.6x
nothing to do; leverage drifts with the price

Cost of holding

Simulate any window

Over the last year, a hold of 2x Apple short did this against 2× the stock, on average and in the worst tenth of start dates.

HoldOn averageWorst tenthLost more than half
24 hours−0.01%0.16%none
7 days−0.04%0.76%none
30 days−0.61%3.8%none

Decay is a cost of choppy markets: it disappears in a steady trend and bites when prices swing past the rebalance band. Backtest with a modelled keeper, fees per D8, funding 0; not the live token.

Replay any hold

Pick a start date and a length; the simulator replays Apple's daily history under this keeper and fees, then rolls the same hold across every start date so the range of outcomes is visible.

Simulate a 30-day hold

Since launch

Launches at 1.00 USDC per token. The token price is now 0.9966 USDC. There are no reverse splits: the price drifts away from 1.00 in both directions over time. Why leveraged tokens decay